Ironworkers

AI Overlap Index
28.9 / 100
Insulated

Embodied skill, frontline presence, or deep institutional judgment. Most insulated.

SOC · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$61,940/yr
Hourly
$30/hr
Jobs 2024
85,100
Projected 2034
88,900
10-yr outlook
+4% · As fast as average
Employment change
3,800
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
17.7
contribution to AOI: 10.6
Automation Potential weight 10%
10.0
contribution to AOI: 1.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
34.1
mult 1.18x
Mid
28.9
mult 1.00x
Senior
24.6
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t7

Signal crane operators to lift and position structural materials

AI-assisted communication systems and computer vision could help coordinate crane operations and material positioning, but the safety-critical nature and need for real-time human judgment in dynamic construction environments means humans remain essential, though AI can augment signaling efficiency.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers signal crane operators who lift and position structural and reinforcing iron and steel.

42
automation
Important t3

Read and follow blueprints, sketches, and construction instructions

AI can interpret blueprints and extract specifications with high accuracy, but translating these into physical construction actions in dynamic job sites still requires human judgment to reconcile drawings with on-site conditions and coordinate with other trades.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers typically read and follow blueprints, sketches, and other instructions.

35
automation
Supporting t9

Unload and stack prefabricated iron and steel for lifting

While warehouse robotics can handle some material movement, unloading and stacking heavy structural steel on active construction sites with varying terrain, weather, and spatial constraints requires physical capabilities and environmental adaptability that exceed current autonomous systems, though AI can assist with logistics planning.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers unload and stack prefabricated iron and steel so that it can be lifted with slings.

22
automation
Important t5

Cut, bend, and weld iron and steel using torches, welding equipment, and machines

Cutting, bending, and welding require skilled physical manipulation in variable positions and environments, with real-time quality assessment through visual and tactile feedback that current robotic systems cannot match in non-factory construction settings.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers use shears, rod-bending machines, torches, handtools, and welding equipment to cut, bend, and weld the structural and reinforcing iron and steel.

18
automation
Important t4

Align structural and reinforcing iron and steel using plumb bobs, lasers, and levels

Involves physical manipulation of heavy structural elements in three-dimensional space with precision measurement tools, requiring real-time adjustments based on tactile feedback and environmental factors that AI-controlled robotics cannot yet handle reliably on construction sites.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers align structural and reinforcing iron and steel vertically and horizontally, using tag lines, plumb bobs, lasers, and levels.

15
automation
Core t2

Position and secure steel bars or mesh in concrete forms for reinforcement

Demands physical dexterity to position and secure rebar in three-dimensional concrete forms on active job sites, requiring adaptation to varying form geometries and environmental conditions beyond current robotic capabilities.

BLS evidence: Reinforcing iron and rebar workers position and secure steel bars or mesh in concrete forms for purposes of reinforcement.

12
automation
Important t8

Install metal decking and precast walls in building construction

Installing metal decking and precast walls requires physical strength, precise positioning at height, and adaptation to site-specific conditions and obstacles that current robotics cannot navigate in active construction environments.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers install metal decking used in building construction and some ironworkers install precast walls.

11
automation
Core t6

Connect iron and steel components with bolts, wire, or welds

Connecting components at height on active construction sites requires precise physical coordination, strength, and real-time problem-solving to align parts under varying conditions—capabilities well beyond current AI-robotics integration.

BLS evidence: Ironworkers connect iron and steel with bolts, wire, or welds.

10
automation
Core t1

Erect and join steel girders, columns, and structural frameworks

Requires precise physical manipulation of heavy materials at height in unpredictable outdoor environments, real-time spatial reasoning, and fine motor control that current robotics cannot reliably achieve in active construction sites.

BLS evidence: Structural iron and steel workers erect, place, and join steel girders, columns, and other pieces to form structural frameworks.

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
10
karpathy 1/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: As fast as average
  • BLS projected outlook: As fast as average (4%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

closest AOI neighbors in the same category