Solar photovoltaic installers

AI Overlap Index
28.6 / 100
Insulated

Embodied skill, frontline presence, or deep institutional judgment. Most insulated.

SOC 47-2231 · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$51,860/yr
Hourly
$25/hr
Jobs 2024
28,600
Projected 2034
40,600
10-yr outlook
+42% · Much faster than average
Employment change
12,000
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code
47-2231

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
19.4
contribution to AOI: 11.6
Automation Potential weight 10%
20.0
contribution to AOI: 2.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
33.7
mult 1.18x
Mid
28.6
mult 1.00x
Senior
24.3
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t4

Plan PV system configurations based on customer needs and site conditions

AI can analyze site conditions from photos/data, calculate optimal panel placement, estimate shading losses, and generate system configurations. However, human judgment is still needed for final decisions on structural feasibility, aesthetic concerns, and customer preference trade-offs.

BLS evidence: PV installers 'Plan PV system configurations based on customer needs and site conditions' is the first listed duty.

58
automation
Supporting t8

Verify measurements and design of the structure at the jobsite

AI can compare design specs to site photos and flag discrepancies, but physical verification requires walking the site, using measuring tools on actual structures, and assessing conditions (roof integrity, obstructions) that require human judgment and presence.

BLS evidence: At the jobsite, PV installers 'verify the measurements and design of the structure on which the PV system is being set up.'

25
automation
Important t5

Activate and test PV systems

Requires physical presence to flip breakers, verify connections, use multimeters on live circuits, and troubleshoot issues in real-time. AI can guide testing procedures and interpret some readings remotely, but the physical execution and safety-critical decision-making require human presence.

BLS evidence: The duties include 'Activate and test PV systems' and installers 'must test the system and its components.'

22
automation
Supporting t9

Check electrical systems for proper wiring, polarity, and grounding

Requires physical access to electrical panels and junction boxes, using test equipment on live circuits, and verifying proper installation through hands-on inspection. AI can guide the testing sequence but cannot perform the physical measurements or make safety-critical assessments in situ.

BLS evidence: Workers 'check the electrical systems for proper wiring, polarity, and grounding' once panels are set up.

20
automation
Important t6

Perform routine PV system maintenance

Involves climbing to roof-mounted systems, physically inspecting panels for damage/debris, cleaning arrays, checking mounting hardware torque, and replacing components. Requires mobility in unpredictable outdoor environments that current robotics cannot navigate safely.

BLS evidence: PV installers 'Perform routine PV system maintenance' is listed as a typical duty and they 'perform maintenance as needed.'

18
automation
Core t2

Measure, cut, and assemble the support structure for solar PV panels

Involves physical measurement, cutting materials with power tools, and assembling structures in outdoor environments with variable conditions. Current AI-robotics systems lack the dexterity, mobility, and environmental adaptability for construction tasks in non-factory settings.

BLS evidence: PV installers 'Measure, cut, and assemble the support structure for solar PV panels' is listed as a typical duty.

15
automation
Core t1

Install solar modules, panels, and support structures according to building codes

Requires physical installation on rooftops or ground mounts in variable outdoor conditions with precise alignment, load-bearing assessment, and real-time adaptation to structural irregularities that current robotics cannot handle safely or reliably.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Install solar modules, panels, and support structures according to building codes and standards' as a primary task.

12
automation
Core t3

Connect PV panels to the electrical system

Requires hands-on electrical work including wire stripping, conduit running, and making secure connections in outdoor/attic environments with safety-critical requirements. No current AI-robotic system can perform electrical trade work in residential/commercial settings.

BLS evidence: The duties section states PV installers 'Connect PV panels to the electrical system' and they 'connect the panels to electrical components.'

10
automation
Important t7

Apply weather sealant to equipment being installed

Requires precise manual application of sealant to roof penetrations and equipment mounts in outdoor conditions, ensuring weatherproofing without gaps or excess. Demands fine motor control and tactile feedback in variable positions that robotics cannot replicate on active job sites.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly lists 'Apply weather sealant to equipment being installed.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
20
karpathy 2/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Much faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Much faster than average (42%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

closest AOI neighbors in the same category