Roofers

AI Overlap Index
27.6 / 100
Insulated

Embodied skill, frontline presence, or deep institutional judgment. Most insulated.

SOC 47-2181 · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$50,970/yr
Hourly
$25/hr
Jobs 2024
166,700
Projected 2034
176,500
10-yr outlook
+6% · Faster than average
Employment change
9,800
Entry education
No formal educational credential
SOC code
47-2181

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
16.8
contribution to AOI: 10.1
Automation Potential weight 10%
10.0
contribution to AOI: 1.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
80.0
contribution to AOI: 12.0

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
32.6
mult 1.18x
Mid
27.6
mult 1.00x
Senior
23.5
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t4

Measure roofs to calculate the quantities of materials needed

AI with computer vision and photogrammetry can measure roof dimensions from drone imagery or photos and calculate material quantities accurately, though a human still verifies complex geometries and unusual features in practice.

BLS evidence: The duties section states 'Measure roofs to calculate the quantities of materials needed,' and the Important Qualities section notes that 'Roofers use math to measure and calculate roofing areas.'

62
automation
Important t3

Inspect problem roofs to determine the best way to repair them

AI vision systems can identify visible damage patterns and thermal imaging can detect moisture, but diagnosing root causes requires physical probing, structural assessment under load, and experience-based judgment about hidden deterioration that AI cannot yet replicate reliably.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Inspect problem roofs to determine the best way to repair them' as the first task roofers typically do.

35
automation
Supporting t10

Install green technology rooftop applications such as vegetative roofs and rainwater harvesting systems

Requires installation of complex multi-layer systems with drainage, waterproofing, root barriers, and living plants or plumbing connections, involving heavy materials, structural assessment, and integration of multiple building systems in elevated outdoor environments.

BLS evidence: The page states 'Roofers also install green technology rooftop applications. These include vegetative roofs, rainwater harvesting systems, and photovoltaic products.'

12
automation
Supporting t9

Cover exposed nail or screw heads with roofing cement or caulk to prevent leakage

Involves locating and treating individual fasteners across large roof surfaces, applying viscous materials with appropriate coverage in varying temperatures, and working in awkward positions on slopes—requiring fine motor control and physical presence.

BLS evidence: The duties section states 'Cover exposed nail or screw heads with roofing cement or caulk to prevent leakage' as a finishing task.

11
automation
Important t7

Align and cut roofing materials to fit around walls, vents, and roof edges

Demands precise measurement, cutting, and fitting of materials around irregular three-dimensional obstacles on sloped surfaces, requiring hand-eye coordination, tactile feedback, and adaptive problem-solving in physically challenging positions.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists both 'Align roofing materials with edges of the roof' and 'Cut roofing materials to fit around walls or vents' as tasks requiring manual dexterity and attention to detail.

10
automation
Important t6

Replace damaged or rotting joists or plywood

Involves structural carpentry in elevated, confined spaces with assessment of load-bearing integrity, precise cutting and fitting of lumber, and safe removal of compromised materials—all requiring fine motor skills and real-time structural judgment.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly includes 'Replace damaged or rotting joists or plywood' as a task roofers perform during repairs.

9
automation
Core t1

Install shingles, asphalt, metal, or other materials to make roofs weatherproof

Requires precise physical manipulation of materials on sloped, elevated surfaces in variable weather conditions, plus real-time adaptation to structural irregularities that current robotics cannot handle at scale.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Install shingles, asphalt, metal, or other materials to make the roof weatherproof' as a primary task, and the page emphasizes that roofers install various roofing materials on both low-slope and steep-slope roofs.

8
automation
Supporting t8

Install roof ventilation systems

Requires cutting precise openings through roofing materials and structure, installing vents with proper flashing and sealing, and ensuring airflow calculations are met—tasks involving physical installation skills and structural modification in elevated environments.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Install roof ventilation' as one of the tasks roofers typically do.

8
automation
Important t5

Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation

Requires physical installation of large sheets in confined attic spaces or on roofs, precise fitting around obstacles, and handling of materials that conform irregularly—tasks requiring dexterity and spatial reasoning in non-standardized environments.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation' as a task, and the page describes how roofers build up layers over insulation boards on low-slope roofs.

7
automation
Core t2

Remove existing roof systems

Involves heavy physical labor, demolition in unpredictable conditions, hazard assessment for underlying damage, and operation of tools on unstable elevated platforms—all beyond current AI+robotics capabilities.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly states 'Remove existing roof systems' as a key task roofers perform when replacing roofs.

6
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
10
karpathy 1/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Faster than average (6%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
80
ed: No formal educational credential
  • BLS typical entry-level education: No formal educational credential
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

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