Drywall installers, ceiling tile installers, and tapers

AI Overlap Index
26.0 / 100
Insulated

Embodied skill, frontline presence, or deep institutional judgment. Most insulated.

SOC 47-2080 · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$58,800/yr
Hourly
$28/hr
Jobs 2024
118,600
Projected 2034
123,000
10-yr outlook
+4% · As fast as average
Employment change
4,400
Entry education
No formal educational credential
SOC code
47-2080

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
10.5
contribution to AOI: 6.3
Automation Potential weight 10%
10.0
contribution to AOI: 1.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
80.0
contribution to AOI: 12.0

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
30.7
mult 1.18x
Mid
26.0
mult 1.00x
Senior
22.1
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t5

Sand all joints and holes for a smooth, seamless finish

Requires fine motor control with sanding tools, tactile sensing to detect surface imperfections, and physical maneuvering in construction environments with dust and obstacles that exceed current robotic manipulation capabilities.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly states workers 'Sand all joints and holes for a smooth, seamless finish.'

13
automation
Core t1

Measure, mark, and cut drywall panels according to design plans

Requires physical measurement in variable construction environments, hand-eye coordination for accurate cutting, and adaptation to site-specific irregularities that AI-controlled robotics cannot yet handle reliably.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly lists 'Measure, mark, and cut drywall panels according to design plans' as a primary task.

12
automation
Important t6

Patch, trim, and smooth rough spots and edges

Demands manual dexterity for trimming and smoothing in tight spaces, real-time assessment of surface quality through touch, and adaptive physical techniques in non-standardized environments beyond AI+robotics reach.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Patch, trim, and smooth rough spots and edges' as a typical task.

12
automation
Core t4

Add coats of sealing compound to create an even surface

Involves skilled hand movements to feather compound edges, judgment of proper thickness through touch and visual inspection, and physical application techniques in variable site conditions that AI-controlled systems cannot replicate.

BLS evidence: The duties section includes 'Add coats of sealing compound to create an even surface,' and workers 'use trowels to spread coats of sealing compound over cracks, indentations, and other imperfections.'

11
automation
Important t8

Repair damaged drywall and replace ceiling tiles

Requires diagnostic assessment of damage in situ, physical removal and replacement of materials in existing structures, and skilled manual work in constrained spaces that AI-controlled systems cannot perform at median worker quality.

BLS evidence: The page states 'In addition to performing new installations, many installers and tapers make repairs such as fixing damaged drywall and replacing ceiling tiles.'

11
automation
Core t3

Apply tape and sealing compound to cover joints between wallboards

Requires tactile feedback to apply proper tape tension and compound thickness across irregular joints, manual dexterity in confined spaces, and physical presence in non-standardized construction environments beyond current AI+robotics capabilities.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Apply tape and sealing compound to cover joints between wallboards,' and tapers 'apply paper or fiberglass mesh tape to cover drywall seams.'

10
automation
Important t7

Install suspended ceiling systems using runners and wire

Involves overhead physical installation requiring balance and coordination, precise alignment of runners and wire in three-dimensional space, and adaptation to building-specific structural variations that current robotics cannot handle.

BLS evidence: Ceiling tile installers 'hang ceiling tiles and create suspended ceilings' where 'tiles may be...suspended on runners that are connected by wire to the ceiling.'

9
automation
Core t2

Fasten drywall panels and ceiling tiles to support structures

Demands precise physical manipulation of heavy panels in unpredictable construction spaces, fine motor control for fastener placement, and real-time adjustment to structural variations that current robotics cannot perform at human quality.

BLS evidence: The duties section states workers 'Fasten panels and tiles to support structures,' and drywall installers 'cut and hang the panels of wallboard.'

8
automation
Supporting t9

Operate mechanical lifts, stilts, ladders, or scaffolds to access ceilings

Demands physical operation of equipment requiring balance, spatial awareness in dynamic construction environments, and real-time safety judgment while working at heights—capabilities that remain firmly in the human domain.

BLS evidence: The page notes 'Workers may use mechanical lifts or stand on stilts, ladders, or scaffolds to hang and prepare ceilings.'

7
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
10
karpathy 1/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: As fast as average
  • BLS projected outlook: As fast as average (4%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
80
ed: No formal educational credential
  • BLS typical entry-level education: No formal educational credential
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

closest AOI neighbors in the same category