Registered nurses

AI Overlap Index
28.8 / 100
Insulated

Embodied skill, frontline presence, or deep institutional judgment. Most insulated.

SOC 29-1141 · Healthcare

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$93,600/yr
Hourly
$45/hr
Jobs 2024
3,391,000
Projected 2034
3,557,100
10-yr outlook
+5% · Faster than average
Employment change
166,100
Entry education
Bachelor's degree
SOC code
29-1141

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
25.2
contribution to AOI: 15.1
Automation Potential weight 10%
40.0
contribution to AOI: 4.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
31.7
mult 1.10x
Mid
28.8
mult 1.00x
Senior
23.6
mult 0.82x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t8

Record patients' medical histories, symptoms, and observations

AI can transcribe voice notes, structure clinical documentation, auto-populate fields from prior records, and suggest relevant observations based on patient data—substantially reducing documentation burden though nurses still review and validate entries for accuracy.

BLS evidence: Duties list 'Record patients' medical histories and symptoms' and 'Observe patients and record the observations.'

72
automation
Important t7

Perform and analyze diagnostic tests

AI excels at analyzing diagnostic test results (imaging, labs) and can flag abnormalities, but performing tests requires physical patient interaction and specimen collection; the analysis component is highly automatable while the performance component is not, averaging to moderate automation potential.

BLS evidence: Duties include 'Help perform diagnostic tests and analyze the results.'

45
automation
Core t3

Develop and contribute to patient care plans

AI can suggest evidence-based interventions and draft care plan components, but integrating complex patient preferences, family dynamics, and multidisciplinary input requires human clinical judgment and coordination that AI can only assist.

BLS evidence: Duties include 'Set up plans for patients' care or contribute information to existing plans.'

35
automation
Important t6

Educate patients and families about managing illnesses and home care

AI can generate educational content and answer common questions, but effective patient education requires assessing health literacy, adapting to emotional states, demonstrating physical techniques, and building motivation—predominantly human skills with AI providing support materials.

BLS evidence: Duties include 'Teach patients and their families how to manage illnesses or injuries' and 'Explain what to do at home after treatment.'

28
automation
Important t4

Consult and collaborate with physicians and healthcare professionals

Requires real-time collaborative decision-making, reading interpersonal dynamics, negotiating care approaches, and building trust relationships that AI cannot replicate; AI may summarize patient data but humans must conduct the consultation.

BLS evidence: The page states 'Most registered nurses work as part of a team with physicians and other healthcare specialists' and duties include 'Consult and collaborate with doctors and other healthcare professionals.'

22
automation
Important t5

Operate and monitor medical equipment

Involves physical setup and adjustment of equipment on diverse patients, troubleshooting mechanical issues in real-time, and interpreting readings in context of patient presentation—tasks requiring manual dexterity and situational judgment beyond current AI+robotics.

BLS evidence: Duties explicitly list 'Operate and monitor medical equipment.'

18
automation
Supporting t9

Oversee licensed practical nurses, nursing assistants, and home health aides

Requires real-time supervision of staff in dynamic clinical environments, making delegation decisions based on acuity and competency, providing hands-on coaching, and managing interpersonal conflicts—tasks requiring physical presence and human judgment that AI cannot replicate.

BLS evidence: The page states 'Some registered nurses oversee licensed practical nurses, nursing assistants, and home health aides.'

15
automation
Core t1

Assess patients' conditions and observe changes in health status

Requires physical examination skills, real-time interpretation of subtle clinical signs, and high-stakes judgment about deteriorating patients in unpredictable situations that demand immediate human intervention and accountability.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Assess patients' conditions' and 'Observe patients and record the observations' as primary responsibilities, and Important Qualities notes RNs 'must assess changes in the health status of patients.'

12
automation
Core t2

Administer medicines and treatments to patients

Requires precise physical manipulation (IV insertion, injection technique), real-time patient monitoring for adverse reactions, and fine motor skills in varied patient contexts that current robotics cannot reliably replicate.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly states registered nurses 'Administer patients' medicines and treatments.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
40
karpathy 4/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Faster than average (5%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: Bachelor's degree
  • BLS typical entry-level education: Bachelor's degree
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Healthcare

closest AOI neighbors in the same category