Physical therapists

AI Overlap Index
30.1 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC 29-1123 · Healthcare

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$101,020/yr
Hourly
$49/hr
Jobs 2024
267,200
Projected 2034
296,400
10-yr outlook
+11% · Much faster than average
Employment change
29,300
Entry education
Doctoral or professional degree
SOC code
29-1123

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
33.9
contribution to AOI: 20.3
Automation Potential weight 10%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 3.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
15.0
contribution to AOI: 2.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
33.1
mult 1.10x
Mid
30.1
mult 1.00x
Senior
24.7
mult 0.82x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t4

Review patients' medical history and referrals from doctors and healthcare workers

AI excels at parsing medical records, extracting relevant history, identifying contraindications, and summarizing referral information from structured and unstructured clinical documents, requiring only light human verification of completeness and clinical relevance.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'review patients' medical history and referrals or notes from doctors, surgeons, or other healthcare workers.'

72
automation
Important t8

Develop fitness and wellness programs to encourage healthy, active lifestyles

AI can design evidence-based fitness programs from patient profiles, generate exercise progressions, and create wellness content, but programs require human judgment to balance medical safety with motivational factors and community context, though AI does substantial groundwork.

BLS evidence: Many physical therapists 'help patients maintain or improve mobility by developing fitness and wellness programs that encourage healthy, active lifestyles.'

58
automation
Core t2

Develop individualized plans of care outlining patient goals and expected outcomes

AI can draft treatment plans from diagnosis data and suggest evidence-based interventions, but individualizing goals requires integrating patient preferences, psychosocial factors, and clinical judgment about realistic timelines that demand substantial human oversight.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'develop individualized plans of care for patients, outlining the patients' goals and the expected outcomes of the plans.'

48
automation
Important t6

Educate patients and families about recovery expectations and coping strategies

AI can generate educational content about conditions and recovery timelines, but effective patient education requires reading emotional states, adapting explanations to health literacy levels, and building therapeutic rapport that current systems handle poorly without human delivery.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'educate patients and their families about what to expect from the recovery process and how to cope with challenges throughout the process.'

42
automation
Supporting t10

Consult with physicians, surgeons, and other specialists as part of healthcare team

AI can summarize patient status, flag relevant clinical data for consultation, and suggest discussion points, but effective interdisciplinary consultation requires negotiating treatment priorities, interpreting specialist recommendations in context, and building professional relationships that remain human-centered.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists work 'consulting with physicians and surgeons and other specialists' as part of a healthcare team.

38
automation
Important t5

Evaluate and record patients' progress, modifying treatment plans as needed

While AI can track quantitative metrics and flag deviations from expected progress curves, evaluating functional improvement requires hands-on assessment of movement quality, and modifying plans demands clinical reasoning about why progress stalled that AI cannot reliably perform.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'evaluate and record a patients' progress, modifying the plan of care and trying new treatments as needed.'

35
automation
Supporting t9

Oversee the work of physical therapist assistants and aides

Oversight involves observing hands-on patient care techniques in real-time, providing immediate corrective feedback on manual skills, managing interpersonal team dynamics, and making judgment calls about patient safety that require physical presence and human leadership.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists work 'overseeing the work of physical therapist assistants and aides.'

25
automation
Important t7

Train patients in functional movement using equipment like canes, crutches, and wheelchairs

Training requires physically demonstrating proper technique, providing tactile cueing and manual guidance, adjusting equipment fit in real-time, and ensuring safety during initial attempts with assistive devices—all demanding physical presence and fine motor intervention.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists provide 'training in functional movement, which may include the use of equipment such as canes, crutches, wheelchairs, and walkers.'

15
automation
Core t1

Diagnose patients' functions and movements by observing them and listening to concerns

Requires real-time physical observation of patient movement patterns, palpation to assess tissue quality and joint mobility, and nuanced interpretation of non-verbal pain responses in unpredictable clinical environments that AI+robotics cannot replicate.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'diagnose patients' functions and movements by observing them stand or walk and by listening to their concerns.'

12
automation
Core t3

Use exercises, stretching, hands-on therapy, and equipment to ease pain and improve mobility

Hands-on manual therapy requires precise tactile feedback and force modulation, exercise instruction needs real-time correction of form in 3D space, and equipment use involves physical manipulation and safety monitoring in dynamic patient interactions beyond current robotics capabilities.

BLS evidence: Physical therapists 'use exercises, stretching maneuvers, hands-on therapy, and equipment to ease patients' pain, help them increase their mobility, prevent further pain or injury, and facilitate health and wellness.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
30
karpathy 3/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Much faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Much faster than average (11%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
15
ed: Doctoral or professional degree
  • BLS typical entry-level education: Doctoral or professional degree
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Healthcare

closest AOI neighbors in the same category