Electricians

AI Overlap Index
33.7 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC 47-2111 · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$62,350/yr
Hourly
$30/hr
Jobs 2024
818,700
Projected 2034
896,100
10-yr outlook
+9% · Much faster than average
Employment change
77,400
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code
47-2111

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
27.8
contribution to AOI: 16.7
Automation Potential weight 10%
20.0
contribution to AOI: 2.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
39.8
mult 1.18x
Mid
33.7
mult 1.00x
Senior
28.6
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t4

Read blueprints or technical diagrams

AI vision models can parse technical diagrams and blueprints, extract specifications, identify components, and flag conflicts or code violations. This is primarily a cognitive task of pattern recognition and specification extraction where current AI excels, though field application still requires human judgment.

BLS evidence: Electricians 'Read blueprints or technical diagrams' which 'include technical diagrams of electrical systems that show the location of circuits, outlets, and other equipment.'

72
automation
Important t6

Follow state and local building regulations based on the National Electrical Code

AI can cross-reference work specifications against NEC and local code databases, flag violations, and suggest compliant alternatives. This is largely a knowledge retrieval and rule-matching task, though final accountability and interpretation of ambiguous cases still benefits from human oversight.

BLS evidence: Electricians must 'Follow state and local building regulations based on the National Electrical Code,' which sets 'standards for the safe installation of electrical wiring and equipment.'

68
automation
Supporting t8

Collaborate with building engineers and architects to design electrical systems

AI can generate electrical system designs from building specifications, optimize load calculations, suggest routing, and ensure code compliance. However, this collaborative process involves negotiating trade-offs with other disciplines and adapting to evolving project constraints where human judgment remains valuable.

BLS evidence: Experienced electricians 'may work with building engineers and architects to help design electrical systems for new construction.'

58
automation
Supporting t9

Consult with other construction specialists on electrical or power systems

AI can facilitate information exchange and flag technical conflicts, but construction consultation requires reading social cues, negotiating solutions on-site, understanding unstated constraints, and building trust across trades—interpersonal skills where AI assistance is limited to documentation and scheduling.

BLS evidence: Some electricians 'may also consult with other construction specialists, such as elevator installers and heating and air conditioning workers, to help install or maintain electrical or power systems.'

35
automation
Important t7

Direct and train workers to install, maintain, or repair electrical wiring or equipment

While AI can provide training content and procedural guidance, directing workers on active job sites requires physical presence, real-time assessment of work quality and safety, interpersonal communication in noisy environments, and adaptive leadership that AI cannot provide.

BLS evidence: Electricians 'Direct and train workers to install, maintain, or repair electrical wiring or equipment,' and 'may direct helpers and apprentices to complete jobs.'

22
automation
Important t5

Inspect electrical components such as transformers and circuit breakers

Requires physical access to components in varied locations (rooftops, basements, utility rooms), visual and sometimes tactile inspection for wear, corrosion, or damage, and safety-critical judgment in energized environments that current systems cannot safely navigate.

BLS evidence: The duties section states electricians 'Inspect electrical components, such as transformers and circuit breakers.'

15
automation
Core t2

Identify electrical problems using testing devices

While AI can interpret some diagnostic data, this task requires physical manipulation of testing devices (multimeters, circuit tracers) in varied field conditions, tactile feedback, and on-site judgment about access points and safety that robotics cannot yet perform.

BLS evidence: Electricians 'Identify electrical problems using a variety of testing devices' and 'use ammeters, voltmeters, thermal scanners, and cable testers to find problems.'

12
automation
Core t1

Install and maintain wiring, control, and lighting systems

Requires physical presence in unpredictable construction environments, fine motor skills for wire manipulation and connections in tight spaces, and real-time problem-solving with physical materials that current robotics cannot reliably handle.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Install and maintain wiring, control, and lighting systems' as a primary task, and the page states 'Installing electrical systems in newly constructed buildings' is a major part of the work.

8
automation
Core t3

Repair or replace wiring, equipment, or fixtures using handtools and power tools

Demands precise physical manipulation of tools and materials in non-standardized environments (walls, ceilings, panels), dexterity for splicing and securing connections, and adaptive problem-solving when encountering unexpected conditions that AI-robotics systems cannot handle.

BLS evidence: The duties explicitly include 'Repair or replace wiring, equipment, or fixtures using handtools and power tools,' and maintenance work involves 'fixing or replacing parts, light fixtures, control systems, motors.'

7
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
20
karpathy 2/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Much faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Much faster than average (9%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

closest AOI neighbors in the same category