Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters

AI Overlap Index
35.7 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC 47-2152 · Construction And Extraction

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$62,970/yr
Hourly
$30/hr
Jobs 2024
504,500
Projected 2034
527,200
10-yr outlook
+4% · As fast as average
Employment change
22,700
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code
47-2152

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
27.4
contribution to AOI: 16.4
Automation Potential weight 10%
20.0
contribution to AOI: 2.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
42.1
mult 1.18x
Mid
35.7
mult 1.00x
Senior
30.3
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t10

Help develop blueprints showing placement of pipes and fixtures for construction projects

AI CAD tools can generate pipe routing, optimize layouts for code compliance, and place fixtures based on specifications; human plumbers provide input on practical constraints, but the drafting work itself is largely automatable with current BIM and design software.

BLS evidence: The page notes 'Master plumbers on construction jobs may help develop blueprints that show the placement of pipes and fixtures.'

72
automation
Important t7

Prepare cost estimates for clients

AI can calculate material costs, labor hours from standard databases, and generate estimates from specifications; human review needed primarily for unusual conditions and client negotiation, but the computational core is highly automatable.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Prepare cost estimates for clients' as a typical task performed by these workers.

62
automation
Important t5

Read blueprints and follow state and local building codes

AI can parse blueprints, cross-reference building codes, and flag compliance issues effectively; however, applying codes to ambiguous real-world conditions and making judgment calls on interpretation still requires human expertise, making this a high-assistance scenario.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly lists 'Read blueprints and follow state and local building codes' as a typical task.

58
automation
Important t6

Determine the materials and equipment needed for a job

AI can generate material lists from blueprints and specifications, but determining quantities for non-standard jobs requires on-site assessment of existing conditions, spatial constraints, and contingency planning that benefits significantly from human experience.

BLS evidence: The duties section states 'Determine the materials and equipment needed for a job' and notes they 'determine the necessary materials for a job.'

48
automation
Core t3

Troubleshoot and diagnose malfunctioning plumbing and piping systems

AI can assist with diagnostic decision trees and sensor data analysis, but troubleshooting requires physical access to systems, hands-on testing, and interpreting ambiguous physical symptoms (sounds, moisture patterns) in varied environments that demand human judgment.

BLS evidence: The duties include 'Troubleshoot malfunctioning systems' and the important qualities section states they 'find, diagnose, and repair problems.'

22
automation
Important t9

Direct and supervise apprentices and helpers on job sites

Requires real-time on-site supervision, safety monitoring, hands-on demonstration of techniques, and adaptive teaching based on individual apprentice performance in dynamic construction environments that AI cannot physically oversee.

BLS evidence: The page states 'Journey- and master-level plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters frequently direct apprentices and helpers.'

18
automation
Important t8

Clean drains and remove obstructions from piping systems

Requires physical operation of snakes, augers, and hydro-jetting equipment in varied drain configurations, plus tactile feedback to avoid damaging pipes; involves working in unsanitary conditions that robotics cannot navigate effectively.

BLS evidence: The page specifically states that plumbers 'clean drains, remove obstructions' as part of their work.

15
automation
Core t2

Inspect and test installed pipe systems to ensure they are airtight and watertight

Involves physical pressure testing, visual inspection in confined spaces, and tactile detection of leaks in installed systems; requires mobility through buildings and manual operation of testing equipment that AI-robotics cannot yet perform reliably.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Inspect and test installed pipe systems and pipelines' and notes they 'test pressure to ensure that a pipe system is airtight and watertight.'

12
automation
Core t4

Repair or replace broken pipes, fixtures, and system components

Requires physical removal and installation of components in tight, non-standardized spaces (under sinks, in walls, crawlspaces) with fine motor control for soldering, threading, and fitting that current robotics cannot match.

BLS evidence: The page states they 'repair or replace broken pipes and fixtures' and 'Maintain and repair plumbing systems' is listed as a primary duty.

10
automation
Core t1

Install pipes, fittings, and fixtures that carry water, gas, and other fluids

Requires precise physical manipulation of pipes and fittings in unpredictable residential/commercial environments with varied spatial constraints, plus real-time problem-solving for non-standard installations that current robotics cannot handle.

BLS evidence: The page states they 'install pipes and fittings that carry water, gas, and other fluids and substances' and 'install plumbing fixtures, such as bathtubs and toilets, and appliances, such as dishwashers and water heaters.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
20
karpathy 2/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: As fast as average
  • BLS projected outlook: As fast as average (4%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Construction And Extraction

closest AOI neighbors in the same category