Water transportation workers

AI Overlap Index
31.3 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC 53-5000 · Transportation And Material Moving

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$66,490/yr
Hourly
$32/hr
Jobs 2024
84,300
Projected 2034
85,400
10-yr outlook
+1% · Slower than average
Employment change
1,100
Entry education
See How to Become One
SOC code
53-5000

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
24.7
contribution to AOI: 14.8
Automation Potential weight 10%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 3.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
55.0
contribution to AOI: 8.2
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
39.1
mult 1.25x
Mid
31.3
mult 1.00x
Senior
25.0
mult 0.80x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t9

Maintain detailed logs and records of ship movements and activities

Maintaining logs and records of ship movements, weather, cargo, and activities is highly structured documentation that AI can largely automate by integrating GPS, sensor data, and operational systems. Human review for accuracy and regulatory compliance keeps this from full automation.

BLS evidence: Captains must keep detailed logs and records of their ship's movements and other activities, and ship engineers keep a detailed engineering log.

75
automation
Supporting t10

Coordinate vessel maintenance, repairs, and purchase of equipment and supplies

Coordinating maintenance schedules, repairs, and procurement involves structured planning, vendor communication, and inventory management that AI can substantially assist with through predictive maintenance algorithms and supply chain optimization. However, final decisions on priorities, vendor selection, and budget allocation still require human oversight.

BLS evidence: Captains' responsibilities may include purchasing equipment and supplies, coordinating maintenance or repairs.

58
automation
Important t4

Stand watch to monitor for other vessels, obstructions, and navigational aids

Watch-standing for monitoring vessels and obstructions can be substantially augmented by radar, AIS, and computer vision systems that detect and track objects. AI can alert to threats, but human judgment remains necessary for interpreting ambiguous situations and making evasive decisions in real-time.

BLS evidence: Sailors stand watch, looking out for other vessels or obstructions in their ship's path and for navigational aids, such as buoys and lighthouses.

48
automation
Important t6

Oversee loading and unloading of cargo and passengers at port

Overseeing cargo and passenger operations requires on-site coordination of stevedores, equipment operators, and safety monitoring in active port environments with heavy machinery and physical hazards. AI can assist with manifests and scheduling but cannot replace physical supervision and real-time safety decisions.

BLS evidence: Captains' responsibilities include overseeing the loading and unloading of cargo or passengers at port, and deck officers may inspect the cargo hold during loading.

25
automation
Important t5

Supervise and coordinate activities of deck crew and engine room personnel

Supervising crew requires physical presence on deck and in engine rooms, real-time coordination during dynamic operations, interpersonal management, and safety judgment in unpredictable maritime conditions that AI cannot execute without embodied presence and human authority.

BLS evidence: Mates supervise and coordinate activities of the deck crew, and the chief engineer directs the engine room and its crew.

22
automation
Important t8

Follow safety procedures to ensure protection of people and cargo

Following safety procedures involves physical actions (donning equipment, securing cargo, conducting drills), real-time hazard assessment in dynamic maritime conditions, and emergency response requiring human judgment and physical capability that AI cannot replicate aboard vessels.

BLS evidence: Water transportation workers follow procedures to ensure the safety of all people and cargo on board.

20
automation
Core t2

Navigate and steer ships through waterways and open seas

Navigation and steering involve real-time decision-making in variable conditions (weather, traffic, emergencies) requiring physical vessel control and situational judgment. While autopilot exists for open water, complex waterways, port approaches, and emergency situations require human piloting that AI+robotics cannot yet match reliably.

BLS evidence: Mates monitor the ship's position, speed, and direction, and pilots guide ships on confined waterways that require familiarity with local tides, currents, or hazards.

18
automation
Core t3

Operate and maintain vessel propulsion systems and machinery

Operating and maintaining propulsion systems requires hands-on mechanical work in engine rooms, troubleshooting physical equipment failures, and performing repairs in confined spaces with varied machinery configurations that robotics cannot navigate or manipulate effectively.

BLS evidence: Ship engineers operate and maintain a vessel's propulsion system, which includes the engine, boilers, generators, pumps, and other machinery.

15
automation
Core t1

Operate vessels to transport cargo and passengers over water

Operating vessels requires real-time physical control in unpredictable marine environments with weather, currents, and dynamic conditions that current autonomous systems cannot reliably handle across the diverse scenarios water transportation workers face, especially for crewed vessels with passengers.

BLS evidence: Water transportation workers operate and maintain vessels that take cargo and people over water.

12
automation
Important t7

Perform routine maintenance and repairs on vessel and equipment

Routine maintenance and repairs require hands-on mechanical work, welding, painting, and equipment servicing in varied locations aboard vessels. This demands fine motor skills, physical access to confined spaces, and diagnostic troubleshooting that current robotics cannot perform in marine environments.

BLS evidence: Sailors complete routine upkeep of the vessel, such as painting the deck, chipping away rust, and cleaning its interior and exterior.

10
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
30
karpathy 3/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
55
outlook: Slower than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Slower than average (1%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: See How to Become One
  • BLS typical entry-level education: See How to Become One
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Transportation And Material Moving

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