Tellers

AI Overlap Index
44.4 / 100
Partially Exposed

Clear pressure on routine tasks. Composition of the role will shift within the decade.

SOC 43-3071 · Office And Administrative Support

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$39,340/yr
Hourly
$19/hr
Jobs 2024
347,400
Projected 2034
302,500
10-yr outlook
-13% · Decline
Employment change
-44,900
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code
43-3071

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
33.5
contribution to AOI: 20.1
Automation Potential weight 10%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 7.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
55.5
mult 1.25x
Mid
44.4
mult 1.00x
Senior
34.6
mult 0.78x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t9

Order bank cards and checks for customers

Ordering bank cards and checks is a highly structured administrative task involving form completion and system entry with standard workflows; AI can handle customer information input, validation, and order submission with minimal human oversight needed only for exceptions.

BLS evidence: Listed in duties as 'Order bank cards and checks for customers.'

82
automation
Important t4

Record all transactions electronically throughout shift

Electronic transaction recording is highly structured data entry that AI can perform accurately given integration with banking systems; most transactions follow standard patterns that can be automated with high reliability, though human oversight remains for exceptions.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly states 'Record all transactions electronically throughout their shift.'

75
automation
Important t8

Recommend bank products or services based on customer interest or financial information

AI can analyze customer financial data and generate product recommendations based on patterns and rules; recommendation engines are well-developed for financial products, though human tellers add relationship context and can better read customer receptiveness in real-time interactions.

BLS evidence: The page states 'Tellers also may recommend the bank's products or services, such as certificates of deposit (CDs) or loans, based on a customer's interest or financial information.'

62
automation
Important t5

Answer questions from customers about their accounts

AI chatbots can handle routine account balance and transaction history queries, but many customer questions involve nuanced situations, require accessing multiple systems, interpreting complex account states, or providing reassurance that still benefits from human judgment and empathy.

BLS evidence: Listed in duties as 'Answer questions from customers about their accounts.'

48
automation
Important t6

Prepare specialized funds such as money orders, savings bonds, and traveler's checks

Preparing physical financial instruments requires handling specialized paper stock, printing, embossing, and verification steps that involve fine motor control and physical security protocols not yet reliably automated in typical branch settings.

BLS evidence: Duties include 'Prepare specialized types of funds, such as money orders, savings bonds, and traveler's checks.'

22
automation
Important t7

Exchange dollars for foreign currency

Currency exchange involves physical handling of foreign bills and coins, verification of authenticity, counting varied denominations, and compliance checks that require manual dexterity and human judgment about suspicious transactions in face-to-face contexts.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Exchange dollars for foreign currency' as a teller responsibility.

20
automation
Core t2

Cash checks and verify customer identity and account balances

Involves physical cash handling, real-time identity verification requiring judgment about document authenticity and customer behavior, and fraud detection in face-to-face contexts where AI vision systems lack the reliability and legal standing for autonomous operation.

BLS evidence: The page states 'When cashing a check, they verify the customer's identity and make sure that the account has enough money to cover the transaction.'

18
automation
Core t3

Count cash in drawer at start and end of shift to ensure amounts balance

Requires physical counting and handling of currency, reconciliation of physical cash with records, and accountability for discrepancies in a way that demands human presence and manual dexterity in handling varied denominations and conditions of bills and coins.

BLS evidence: Duties include 'Count the cash in their drawer at the start of their shift' and 'Count the cash in their drawer at the end of their shift and make sure the amounts balance.'

15
automation
Core t1

Accept checks, cash, and other forms of payment from customers

Requires physical handling of cash, checks, and payment instruments in a face-to-face setting with unpredictable customer interactions and physical verification needs that current robotics cannot reliably automate in typical bank branch environments.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Accept checks, cash, and other forms of payment from customers' as a primary responsibility.

12
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
70
karpathy 7/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: Decline
  • BLS projected outlook: Decline (-13%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Office And Administrative Support

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