Recreation workers

AI Overlap Index
35.6 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC 39-9032 · Personal Care And Service

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$35,380/yr
Hourly
$17/hr
Jobs 2024
327,700
Projected 2034
341,100
10-yr outlook
+4% · As fast as average
Employment change
13,400
Entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
SOC code
39-9032

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
25.7
contribution to AOI: 15.4
Automation Potential weight 10%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 3.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 10.5

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
40.9
mult 1.15x
Mid
35.6
mult 1.00x
Senior
30.3
mult 0.85x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

8 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t8

Create calendars and newsletters to promote activities or programs

AI can generate calendar content, design newsletter layouts, write promotional copy, and schedule distribution based on activity databases and templates. Current AI systems excel at content creation and formatting for marketing materials, requiring only light human review for brand consistency and final approval.

BLS evidence: The page states recreation workers 'create calendars and newsletters to promote certain activities or programs.'

82
automation
Supporting t7

Assist participants in completing forms and paperwork

AI can guide participants through digital forms, auto-populate fields from databases, validate entries, and handle routine paperwork processing with minimal human oversight. Most form completion assistance can be automated through conversational AI and workflow automation, requiring human intervention only for exceptions.

BLS evidence: Recreation workers 'perform administrative tasks, such as helping participants complete paperwork' and 'may assist participants in completing forms.'

68
automation
Important t4

Explain safety procedures to reduce and prevent injuries

AI can generate comprehensive safety procedure content and even personalized safety briefings, but delivery requires physical presence to demonstrate techniques, ensure comprehension through observation, and establish authority in recreational settings. A human must still deliver and verify understanding, though AI can draft the procedures.

BLS evidence: Recreation workers 'explain safety procedures to reduce and prevent injuries' as listed in their typical duties.

35
automation
Important t3

Modify activities to suit needs of specific participants

Modifying activities requires real-time assessment of individual physical capabilities, emotional states, and social dynamics in unpredictable recreational contexts. AI can suggest modifications in theory, but the worker must physically implement changes and continuously assess participant responses in the moment.

BLS evidence: The duties section specifies workers 'modify activities to suit the needs of specific participants, such as seniors.'

22
automation
Core t2

Explain rules and instruct participants at various skill levels

Explaining rules and instructing participants demands real-time physical demonstration, reading body language across varied skill levels, and adapting teaching methods on the fly in dynamic recreational environments. While AI could generate instructional content, the embodied teaching and responsive adjustment to individual learners in person cannot be automated.

BLS evidence: Recreation workers 'explain the rules of activities and instruct participants at a variety of skill levels' according to the duties section.

18
automation
Supporting t6

Set up, maintain, and clean equipment and facilities

Setting up, maintaining, and cleaning equipment involves physical manipulation of diverse recreational gear in varied environments, requiring dexterity and spatial reasoning in non-standardized settings. While some facilities use automated cleaning, the varied nature of recreation equipment and spaces makes this largely manual work.

BLS evidence: The page notes 'some recreation workers assist others at every phase, such as by setting up equipment, helping participants during activities, and cleaning and maintaining the equipment or facility.'

15
automation
Core t1

Organize, conduct, and promote recreational activities for participants

Organizing and promoting activities requires physical presence to manage group dynamics, read real-time participant engagement, and adapt to unpredictable social situations in recreational settings. AI cannot substitute for the embodied facilitation and spontaneous human interaction central to conducting recreational activities.

BLS evidence: The duties section states recreation workers 'organize, conduct, and promote recreational activities' as their primary function.

12
automation
Important t5

Administer basic first aid as needed

Administering first aid requires physical assessment of injuries, fine motor skills for bandaging and treatment, and real-time medical judgment in unpredictable emergency situations. This is hands-on medical care that robotics and AI cannot perform in typical recreation settings.

BLS evidence: The duties section states recreation workers 'administer basic first aid as needed.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
30
karpathy 3/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: As fast as average
  • BLS projected outlook: As fast as average (4%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
70
ed: High school diploma or equivalent
  • BLS typical entry-level education: High school diploma or equivalent
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Personal Care And Service

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