Postsecondary teachers

AI Overlap Index
48.5 / 100
Partially Exposed

Clear pressure on routine tasks. Composition of the role will shift within the decade.

SOC · Education Training And Library

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$83,980/yr
Hourly
$40/hr
Jobs 2024
1,415,600
Projected 2034
1,512,300
10-yr outlook
+7% · Much faster than average
Employment change
96,700
Entry education
See How to Become One
SOC code

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
52.9
contribution to AOI: 31.7
Automation Potential weight 10%
70.0
contribution to AOI: 7.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
55.8
mult 1.15x
Mid
48.5
mult 1.00x
Senior
39.8
mult 0.82x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

11 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t8

Stay informed about changes and innovations in their field

AI can monitor publications, conferences, and developments in a field, synthesize key findings, and deliver personalized updates. The information gathering and synthesis aspects are highly automatable, though critical evaluation remains human-led.

BLS evidence: Teachers must 'Stay informed about changes and innovations in their field' and 'tasks also may include collaborating with their colleagues and attending conferences.'

75
automation
Core t2

Develop instructional plans and course syllabi that meet institutional standards

AI can generate comprehensive syllabi from learning objectives, institutional templates, and subject matter guidelines with minimal human input. Faculty review and customization remain necessary but the drafting labor is largely automatable.

BLS evidence: Postsecondary teachers 'Develop an instructional plan (known as a course outline or syllabus) for the course(s) they teach and ensure that it meets college and department standards.'

72
automation
Important t7

Plan lessons and assignments for courses

AI can generate lesson plans, assignments, and rubrics aligned to learning objectives with high quality. Instructors review and adjust for their teaching style and student needs, but the initial creation is largely automatable.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Plan lessons and assignments' as a typical responsibility.

70
automation
Core t3

Assess students' progress by grading assignments, papers, exams, and other work

AI can grade objective assessments fully and provide substantive feedback on essays and assignments. Complex subjective evaluation and edge cases require human judgment, but 50-70% of grading labor across typical course portfolios is automatable.

BLS evidence: The duties section explicitly states teachers 'Assess students' progress by grading assignments, papers, exams, and other work.'

68
automation
Supporting t11

Apply for grants to fund research projects

AI can draft grant proposals from research plans, format to funder requirements, and optimize language for competitiveness. However, formulating fundable research questions, budgeting, and strategic positioning require significant human expertise and judgment.

BLS evidence: At large institutions, professors may 'apply for grants to fund their research' as part of their responsibilities.

58
automation
Important t6

Work with colleagues to develop or modify curriculum for degree programs

AI can draft curriculum structures, map learning outcomes, and suggest course sequences from institutional data and disciplinary standards. However, negotiating among colleagues, balancing departmental politics, and making strategic program decisions require human collaboration.

BLS evidence: Postsecondary teachers 'Work with colleagues to develop or modify the curriculum for a degree or certificate program involving in-person, online, or hybrid delivery of course material.'

52
automation
Important t5

Advise students about course selection and academic goals

AI can provide course recommendations based on requirements and student records, but advising involves understanding individual circumstances, career aspirations, personal challenges, and building mentoring relationships that require human empathy and judgment.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'Advise students about which courses to take and how to achieve their goals' is listed as a typical duty.

48
automation
Important t4

Conduct original research and publish scholarly findings

AI can assist with literature review, data analysis, and draft sections, but original research requires formulating novel questions, designing methodologies, interpreting ambiguous results, and making scholarly judgments that remain fundamentally human activities.

BLS evidence: The page states professors 'conduct research or experiments, publish original research' and 'Tenured professors must document their analyses or critical reviews and publish their research findings.'

35
automation
Supporting t9

Supervise graduate teaching assistants

Supervision requires observing teaching performance, providing developmental feedback, managing interpersonal issues, and mentoring—activities requiring physical presence, emotional intelligence, and real-time human judgment in educational contexts.

BLS evidence: At large institutions, professors may 'supervise graduate teaching assistants' as part of their duties.

30
automation
Core t1

Teach courses in their subject area

Teaching requires real-time adaptation to student comprehension, managing classroom dynamics, fostering discussion, and building rapport—all requiring physical presence and nuanced human judgment that AI cannot replicate in a live educational setting.

BLS evidence: The duties section lists 'Teach courses in their subject area' as a primary responsibility, and the page states professors may teach classes of various sizes.

25
automation
Supporting t10

Serve on academic or administrative committees

Committee service involves deliberation, negotiation, institutional politics, building consensus, and making governance decisions that require physical presence, relationship management, and human judgment in organizational contexts.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'Serve on academic or administrative committees, as needed' and 'Tenured professors...may be expected to serve on college and university committees.'

20
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
70
karpathy 7/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Much faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Much faster than average (7%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: See How to Become One
  • BLS typical entry-level education: See How to Become One
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Education Training And Library

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