Operations research analysts

AI Overlap Index
54.8 / 100
Partially Exposed

Clear pressure on routine tasks. Composition of the role will shift within the decade.

SOC 15-2031 · Math

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$91,290/yr
Hourly
$44/hr
Jobs 2024
112,100
Projected 2034
136,200
10-yr outlook
+21% · Much faster than average
Employment change
24,100
Entry education
Bachelor's degree
SOC code
15-2031

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
60.0
contribution to AOI: 36.0
Automation Potential weight 10%
90.0
contribution to AOI: 9.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
30.0
contribution to AOI: 4.5
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
68.5
mult 1.25x
Mid
54.8
mult 1.00x
Senior
41.1
mult 0.75x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t4

Collect and organize information from databases, sales histories, customer feedback, and other sources

AI can autonomously query databases, aggregate data from multiple sources, clean and structure information, and organize it for analysis through API integrations and data pipeline tools. This is largely routine data manipulation that current systems handle well with minimal human intervention beyond initial setup.

BLS evidence: Operations research analysts 'Collect and organize information from a variety of sources, such as databases, sales histories, and customer feedback.'

82
automation
Core t3

Analyze collected data using statistical techniques such as forecasting and data mining

AI excels at statistical analysis, forecasting, and data mining with tools like automated machine learning platforms that can select algorithms, tune parameters, and generate predictions. Human analysts are primarily needed to interpret results in business context and validate that statistical assumptions hold, but the computational work is highly automatable.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'break down the problem into its various parts using statistical and database software and analytical techniques, such as forecasting and data mining.'

75
automation
Important t8

Write memos, reports, and documents explaining findings and recommendations to managers

AI can generate well-structured reports, memos, and documentation from analytical findings, translating technical results into business language with appropriate visualizations. Current LLMs produce high-quality written explanations that require human review for accuracy and tone but handle the bulk of composition autonomously.

BLS evidence: Operations research analysts 'Write memos, reports, and other documents explaining their findings and recommendations for managers, executives, and other officials.'

72
automation
Important t7

Study effects of different changes and circumstances on business processes

AI-powered simulation and scenario analysis tools can model how different variables affect business processes, running thousands of what-if scenarios efficiently. Humans are needed to define which scenarios matter and interpret implications, but the computational study of effects is highly automatable with current discrete-event simulation and system dynamics tools.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'study the effect that different changes and circumstances would have on each of these parts,' such as scheduling flights considering multiple variables.

70
automation
Core t2

Develop and test quantitative models and analytical tools to solve organizational problems

Modern AI can generate optimization models, simulation frameworks, and analytical tools from problem specifications, and can even suggest appropriate methodologies (linear programming, queuing theory, etc.). However, validating model assumptions, ensuring real-world applicability, and iterating based on domain constraints still requires human oversight, though AI handles most of the technical implementation.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'Develop and test quantitative models, support software, and analytical tools' using methods rooted in statistics and mathematics.

68
automation
Important t6

Evaluate alternative solutions by weighing costs and benefits of different approaches

AI can systematically enumerate alternatives, calculate quantitative costs and benefits, and perform multi-criteria decision analysis. However, incorporating intangible factors (organizational culture fit, strategic alignment, risk tolerance) and making final recommendations requires human judgment, though AI does most of the analytical heavy lifting.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'provide alternatives to pursuing different actions' and 'weigh the costs and benefits of alternative solutions or approaches in their recommendations.'

64
automation
Core t1

Identify problems in business, logistics, healthcare, or other operational areas

AI can identify patterns and anomalies in operational data and flag potential problem areas, but defining which problems are strategically important and worth solving requires human judgment about organizational priorities and stakeholder concerns that AI cannot fully replicate without substantial human guidance.

BLS evidence: Operations research analysts typically 'Identify problems in areas such as business, logistics, healthcare, or other fields' as their first duty.

52
automation
Supporting t9

Present data and conclusions to executives and nontechnical audiences

While AI can generate presentation materials and talking points, delivering presentations to executives requires reading the room, adapting explanations based on audience reactions, handling unexpected questions, and building credibility through interpersonal presence—skills that remain distinctly human in high-stakes business contexts.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'often present their data and conclusions to managers and other executives' and 'must be able to convey technical information in a way that is understandable to nontechnical audiences.'

35
automation
Important t5

Gather input from workers, clients, and subject-matter experts through interviews

While AI can conduct structured surveys and parse responses, gathering nuanced input from domain experts requires building rapport, asking adaptive follow-up questions based on subtle cues, and navigating organizational politics to extract tacit knowledge—capabilities that remain fundamentally human in workplace contexts.

BLS evidence: Analysts 'Gather input from workers or subject-matter experts' and 'interview clients, workers, or others involved in the business processes being examined.'

28
automation
Supporting t10

Travel to observe business processes and work with clients

Physical travel to client sites and direct observation of business processes in varied real-world environments requires human presence. While remote observation tools exist, understanding operational nuances through in-person engagement remains essential and unautomatable by current AI systems.

BLS evidence: Operations research analysts 'may travel to gather information, observe business processes, work with clients, or attend conferences.'

8
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
90
karpathy 9/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
30
outlook: Much faster than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Much faster than average (21%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: Bachelor's degree
  • BLS typical entry-level education: Bachelor's degree
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

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