Material moving machine operators

AI Overlap Index
38.9 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC · Transportation And Material Moving

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$46,620/yr
Hourly
$22/hr
Jobs 2024
867,700
Projected 2034
877,000
10-yr outlook
+1% · Slower than average
Employment change
9,400
Entry education
See How to Become One
SOC code

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
35.7
contribution to AOI: 21.4
Automation Potential weight 10%
40.0
contribution to AOI: 4.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
55.0
contribution to AOI: 8.2
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
48.6
mult 1.25x
Mid
38.9
mult 1.00x
Senior
31.1
mult 0.80x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

9 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Supporting t7

Keep records of materials moved and their destinations

Recording materials moved, quantities, timestamps, and destinations is straightforward data entry that AI can automate through sensor integration, barcode scanning, and automated logging systems with minimal human verification needed.

BLS evidence: Material moving machine operators keep a record of the material they move and where they move it to.

88
automation
Supporting t9

Verify shipping orders and determine material routing

Verifying shipping orders against manifests and determining optimal routing based on destination, priority, and capacity constraints is a structured decision task that AI can handle through document processing and optimization algorithms with minimal human review.

BLS evidence: Conveyor operators may check the shipping order and determine the route that materials take along a conveyor.

82
automation
Important t5

Monitor equipment sensors and regulate operational speed

Monitoring sensor data and adjusting operational parameters based on readings is well-suited to AI pattern recognition and control systems; automated governors and adaptive speed control already handle much of this with minimal human oversight in modern equipment.

BLS evidence: Conveyor operators monitor sensors to regulate the speed with which the system's conveyor belt moves.

72
automation
Important t4

Signal and direct workers to load and unload materials

AI could generate loading instructions and coordinate timing, but real-time signaling in noisy, visually cluttered environments with workers moving unpredictably still requires human presence and adaptive communication that goes beyond current autonomous systems.

BLS evidence: Operators signal and direct workers to load and unload materials, working closely with hand laborers.

35
automation
Core t2

Transport materials according to a plan or schedule

While route planning is automatable, the physical execution of transporting materials through unpredictable environments with varying loads, surfaces, and obstacles requires human judgment and dexterity that autonomous systems struggle with outside highly controlled settings.

BLS evidence: Operators move material according to a plan or schedule in warehouses, factories, and construction sites.

28
automation
Core t1

Operate material moving equipment using levers, wheels, or foot pedals

Operating physical equipment with levers, wheels, and pedals in dynamic warehouse/construction environments requires real-time spatial awareness, tactile feedback, and motor control that current AI+robotics cannot reliably replicate across the varied contexts these operators face.

BLS evidence: Material moving machine operators control equipment with levers, wheels, or foot pedals to transport objects.

22
automation
Core t6

Maneuver equipment through tight spaces and around obstacles

Maneuvering heavy equipment through tight, obstacle-filled spaces requires precise depth perception, real-time spatial reasoning, and fine motor control in unpredictable environments—capabilities where autonomous systems still fall far short of human operators.

BLS evidence: Operators use hand controls to maneuver their machines through tight spaces, around large objects, and on uneven surfaces.

20
automation
Important t3

Set up and inspect material moving equipment

Setup and inspection require hands-on mechanical assessment, identifying wear patterns, unusual sounds, fluid leaks, and safety issues through physical interaction and sensory evaluation that AI vision and robotics cannot yet match in unstructured industrial environments.

BLS evidence: Material moving machine operators typically set up and inspect material moving equipment as part of their duties.

18
automation
Supporting t8

Perform minor repairs and basic maintenance on equipment

Minor repairs and maintenance require diagnosing mechanical issues through physical inspection, using hand tools in confined spaces, and applying torque/force with precision—tasks requiring dexterity and tactile problem-solving beyond current robotics capabilities.

BLS evidence: Operators make minor repairs to their equipment and perform basic maintenance on them.

12
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
40
karpathy 4/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
55
outlook: Slower than average
  • BLS projected outlook: Slower than average (1%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: See How to Become One
  • BLS typical entry-level education: See How to Become One
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Transportation And Material Moving

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