Career and technical education teachers

AI Overlap Index
37.7 / 100
Selectively Exposed

Physical, social, or oversight-heavy work that AI augments rather than replaces.

SOC · Education Training And Library

Bureau of Labor Statistics
Median pay
$62,910/yr
Hourly
$30/hr
Jobs 2024
239,600
Projected 2034
238,300
10-yr outlook
-1% · Decline
Employment change
-1,300
Entry education
Bachelor's degree
SOC code

Signal composition

how the 0-100 score is assembled

Task Automation Impact weight 60%
36.2
contribution to AOI: 21.7
Automation Potential weight 10%
40.0
contribution to AOI: 4.0
Market Pressure weight 15%
45.0
contribution to AOI: 6.8
Entry Barrier Erosion weight 15%
35.0
contribution to AOI: 5.2

By seniority

multiplicative adjustment from category curve

Entry
43.4
mult 1.15x
Mid
37.7
mult 1.00x
Senior
30.9
mult 0.82x

Entry-level roles carry the brunt because they concentrate the most automatable subset of tasks. Senior work is insulated by judgment, relationships, and accountability.

Task-level analysis

scored 0-100 for current-generation AI feasibility, weighted by BLS-stated importance

10 tasks · model: claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Important t5

Create lesson plans and assignments

AI can generate comprehensive lesson plans aligned to learning objectives, create assignments with rubrics, and adapt content to different skill levels. Teachers would review and customize outputs, but AI handles the bulk of content generation and structural planning for vocational curricula.

BLS evidence: CTE teachers 'create lesson plans and assignments' as a typical duty.

72
automation
Important t6

Monitor students' progress, assign tasks, and grade assignments

AI can grade objective assignments, track completion metrics, and flag struggling students, but assessing hands-on vocational work quality (welding beads, culinary presentations, automotive repairs) requires human judgment of craftsmanship and technique that AI cannot yet evaluate from typical classroom documentation.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'monitor students' progress, assign tasks, and grade assignments' as part of their regular duties.

58
automation
Important t7

Develop and enforce classroom rules and safety procedures

AI can draft comprehensive safety procedures and classroom rules based on industry standards and regulations, but enforcing them requires physical presence, real-time authority, and human judgment about student behavior and safety violations in dynamic workshop environments.

BLS evidence: CTE teachers 'develop and enforce classroom rules and safety procedures' as a typical duty.

48
automation
Supporting t8

Discuss students' progress with parents, students, and counselors

AI can generate progress reports and talking points, but discussing student development requires nuanced interpersonal communication, reading emotional cues from parents and students, building trust relationships, and collaborative problem-solving that current AI cannot authentically replicate.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'discuss students' progress with parents, students, and counselors' as part of their duties.

35
automation
Core t1

Instruct students on how to develop occupation-specific skills

AI can provide supplemental instruction through tutorials and adaptive learning systems, but developing occupation-specific skills requires real-time assessment of student technique, personalized feedback on physical performance, and motivational coaching that current AI cannot reliably deliver in vocational contexts.

BLS evidence: CTE teachers 'instruct students on how to develop certain skills' and 'teach vocational and technical content to give students the skills and knowledge necessary to enter an occupation.'

32
automation
Core t2

Demonstrate tasks, techniques, and tools used in an occupation

While AI can generate video demonstrations and simulations, physically demonstrating hands-on techniques with tools in a classroom requires embodied presence, real-time adaptation to student questions, and manipulation of actual equipment in unpredictable ways that current robotics cannot match.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'demonstrate tasks, techniques, and tools used in an occupation' and may assign hands-on tasks such as replacing brakes on cars or taking blood pressure.

28
automation
Core t3

Show students how to apply classroom knowledge through hands-on activities

Guiding hands-on activities requires physical supervision, real-time troubleshooting of student errors with equipment, safety monitoring in dynamic environments, and adaptive instruction based on tactile feedback—capabilities beyond current AI systems in vocational settings.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'show students how to apply classroom knowledge through hands-on activities' and oversee these activities in workshops and laboratories.

25
automation
Supporting t9

Work with local businesses and organizations to provide practical work experience

Building partnerships with local businesses requires relationship development, in-person networking, negotiating work-based learning agreements, and coordinating logistics in ways that demand human credibility, trust-building, and community presence that AI cannot substitute.

BLS evidence: Some teachers 'work with local businesses and nonprofit organizations to provide practical work experience for students.'

22
automation
Supporting t10

Serve as advisers to students in career and technical student organizations

Advising student organizations requires mentoring leadership development, facilitating group dynamics, attending competitions and events, and providing career guidance through trusted relationships—all requiring sustained human presence and interpersonal influence beyond AI capabilities.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'serve as advisers to students participating in career and technical student organizations.'

20
automation
Important t4

Demonstrate and supervise safe and proper use of tools and equipment

Supervising safe tool and equipment use demands physical presence to intervene in dangerous situations, real-time assessment of student body mechanics and safety compliance, and hands-on correction of improper techniques—tasks requiring human reflexes and judgment in unpredictable physical environments.

BLS evidence: Teachers 'demonstrate and supervise safe and proper use of tools and equipment' and monitor the use of tools until students meet trade standards.

18
automation

Task heatmap

automation score by task, sorted by weighted contribution

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External signals and sources

category-level priors and BLS fields that feed the four non-task signals

Automation Potential
40
karpathy 4/10
  • Karpathy/BLS Digital AI Exposure (0-10 scale rescaled to 0-100)
Market Pressure
45
outlook: Decline
  • BLS projected outlook: Decline (-1%)
  • Indeed demand signal (monthly refresh pending)
Entry Barrier Erosion
35
ed: Bachelor's degree
  • BLS typical entry-level education: Bachelor's degree
  • Credential trend signal (annual refresh)

Related in Education Training And Library

closest AOI neighbors in the same category